When the Cowboys (1-1) travel to face the Seahawks (2-0) in NFL Week 3’s marquee Sunday afternoon game (4:25 p.m., Fox), they will try to get back into the NFC championship conversation by beating a red-hot contender. Dak Prescott and Russell Wilson both have had stellar starts to the season to lift their teams with offensive skill talent all around them.
Dallas couldn’t feature enough offense in Week 1 against the Rams, and didn’t play much defense in Week 2 against the Falcons. The Seahawks separated from the Falcons in Week 1 but their defense kept the Patriots in it until the end of Week 2.
There’s no doubt these teams can run and pass the ball with anyone in the league. But both the Cowboys and Seahawks expected to have better respective defensive strengths in their linebackers and secondary.
Here’s everything to know about betting on Cowboys vs. Seahawks in Week 3, including updated odds, trends and our prediction for the NFL’s game of the week.
The Seahawks have seen the point total go up by a half-point late in the week. They barely covered as 4-point favorites at home against the Patriots last week, beating them by the rare score of 35-30. The Cowboys have failed to cover in either of their games this season, both as mild favorites.
SN’s complete Week 3 NFL picks: Straight up | Against the spread
The Cowboys hold a slim 11-9 edge over the Seahawks, who used to be in the AFC. They last met in the playoffs after the 2018 season, a game the Cowboys won 24-22 in Dallas. Before then the Seahawks were riding a three-game winning streak, with victories in 2015, 2017 and 2018. The Cowboys have enjoyed a couple three-game streaks in the rivalry, too, but none since 2011.
— 57 percent of spread bettors are overwhelming on the Seahawks after their big win over the Patriots, given the Cowboys made a great escape vs. the Falcons. With that, a near 100 percent of bettors like the Seahawks on the moneyline.
— 95 percent of over/under bettors like the game to go over, despite a point total that has increased by two points to a very high number.
— The Cowboys went 9-7 against the spread last season. The Seahawks went 9-7-2 against the spread. The Seahawks have hit the over in their two games this season; the Cowboys have gone 1-1 there, with both teams exploiting the Falcons most.
The Seahawks’ two wide receivers (and a tight end)
Wilson has never had a better 1-2 punch at wideout than long-time go-to guy Tyler Lockett and second-year stud DK Metcalf. They are perfect to connect with Wilson’s big arm playing off the strong running game with precision downfield throwing. The Cowboys are really hurting in cornerback coverage and their glaring weakness in the middle of the field remains. Lockett and Metcalf should come through again, but this game also calls for either Greg Olsen or Will Dissly to make an impact.
The Cowboys’ three wide receivers (and a tight end)
Prescott has an embarrassment of riches in Dallas’ 11 personnel with reliable Amari Cooper, big-play Michael Gallup and rising rookie CeeDee Lamb. The Seahawks had all kinds of trouble with the Falcons’ Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley and Russell Gage in Week 1, and then again with the Patriots’ Julian Edleman, N’Keal Harry and Damiere Byrd in Week 2. The Seahawks also need to be wary of young tight end Dalton Schultz, who was a key fourth target last week.
Ezekiel Elliott vs. Chris Carson
Elliott is off and running (and receiving) well for the Cowboys as usual, with 249 scrimmage yards and 3 TDs over the first two games. Carson has been very good complementing Wilson, too, with 174 scrimmage yards and 3 TDs. The Seahawks and Cowboys will both want to run often and effectively to set up big pass plays and help keep their defenses off the field. Whoever succeeds more in that game plan will win.
82.5, 9 and 140.0. Those are Wilson’s league-leading, MVP-worthy stats of completion percentage, passing TDs and passer rating. He also is averaging a league-best in adjusted yards per attempt (11.4) and posting the league’s best TD pass percentage (14.3). The Cowboys just allowed Matt Ryan to hit a 126.3 rating with 9.81 adjusted yards per attempt in Week 3.
Prescott has been lighting it up early looking for his lucrative long-term contract and is the reason the Cowboys are 1-1 instead of 0-2. But Wilson is playing QB at a whole other level, leaning well on his strong running support with Carson and threading the needle consistently downfield to Lockett and Metcalf. The Cowboys get good games from Cooper, Gallup and Lamb to help Prescott, but Wilson, just like he did vs. Cam Newton, gets the late edge at home.
Seahawks 35, Cowboys 31
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