Race day focus: Best bets, inside mail for NSW midweek racing

Scone trainer Stephen Jones is bullish about Exterminate’s chances despite him entering his Maiden Plate (1600m) without a win from his first 18 starts.

The Shrapnel four-year-old has only been with Jones for four starts and his best finish was a third placing to Bigboyroy at Canterbury.

He’s third-up on Tuesday after being ridden cold and positively at his two runs this time in, and a three-week gap between runs has him ready to fire on Tuesday.

“His runs have been good and so have his trials, and this looks like the right sort of race for him so we expect him to run well,” Jones said.

“We are still figuring him out a little bit but everything’s gone to plan this time. He’s had a few leg problems but we’ve got around them and he’s ready for this race.

“Without a doubt he’s better than his record suggests. The horse goes all right.”

Jones wants him ridden differently this time from barrier seven with Ashley Morgan on board.

“We didn’t want to lead the other day but he did,” Jones said. “I’d say he’d be best ridden midfield so he can run home, especially at Newcastle.”

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Exterminate at Newcastle will not be missed by Dr Who fans.Source:News Corp Australia

The stable will also race Gold Codes 40 minutes later in a Class 2 Handicap (900m) and he’s also coming into the race off a little freshen-up, which is the right formula for him.

His last run was a fourth placing at Muswellbrook when he came from seventh to run half a length off the winner, Bangalley Lad.

“It was a good run last start and he’s a fresh type of horse,” Jones said.

“He’s a horse that you can give a couple of runs to then you’ve got to give him a little break and go again.

“He’s had a wind operation and those types of horses you have to keep on top of themselves.

“I think he’s a good chance. I expect him to run very well in this race. Both horses have their hoof on the till for those races.”

Jones also have five horses heading to Grafton this week for its carnival.

He feels he can train at least one winner in the coming days, and Thursday looks to be his best day out with a stable favourite.

Akasaki hasn’t won since last September when he scored at Newcastle over 900m but the speedster looks ready to peak in the Sir James Kirby Handicap (1000m).

He will be ridden by Grant Buckley from barrier six against the likes of Plague Stone, All Stand and All Cylinders.

Akasaki heads into the race off an eye-catching fourth placing at Eagle Farm when he came from 10th on the turn.

“We’ve got Herzegovina in the cup race on Sunday but I think Akasaki is the one to follow,” Jones said.

“He should have won last start in Brisbane. He couldn’t get clear but he rattled home and his sectionals were terrific.

“He’s always been a great horse to me and I think he’ll be too good for them in that race.”

Thoroughbred action heads to Newcastle and Warren in NSW on Tuesday.Source:Getty Images

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BEST BETS WITH MATT JONES: NEWCASTLE


BEST BET: UNDERBOSS (Race 4, No. 8)
The three-year-old is closing in on a win for Kim Waugh who has given him a good grounding for a 1600m today which he’ll love. On the quick back up which is a good sign.

NEXT BEST: JUST SOCIETY (Race 6, No. 4)
He drops back from a Group 3 race so this is obviously much easier and his previous form was in tougher events too going back to last November when he ran less than three lengths off Asiago in the Spring Stakes here.

BEST EXOTIC: QUADDIE

Leg 1: 4, 5, 8

Leg 2: 1, 5, 6, 8

Leg 3: 1, 3, 4

Leg 4: 1, 7, 8

TRAINER TO WATCH

It’s got to be John O’Shea who has two very good winning chances in Just Society (race 6) and Al Snip (race 7). Both have the form behind them to be winning today.

JOCKEY TO WATCH

I think Tommy Berry can win the first four races today and the sixth race too. He’s a top hoop who is in form and has the horses to give him success today.

BEST BETS WITH MATT JONES: WARREN


BEST BET: KOOKABAA (Race 5, No. 5)
He went down as a short priced favourite last start but almost won and didn’t run a bad race. He just ran into one that fired on the day so he can go one better now.

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Matt Jones’s best bet at Warren comes up in the fifth race.Source:Getty Images

INSIDE MAIL WITH MATT JONES: WARREN

RACE 4

Brunela and Denace are the two highest rated horses in this race and they’re both first-up. Denace has a worse gate but an apprentice’s claim give her a weight advantage and her best is good enough to win this but luck will be needed. Head On has three-straight placings coming into this and after running in lower grades he proved he was up to this type of race with a third placing at Dubbo last start. Policy also has good numbers heading into this but those placings were also down in grade. Supreme Times is knocking on the door and he’ll look to come over the top of them late and he’s ready to win as long as the 1000m isn’t too short.

BET: SUPREME TIMES TO WIN

RACE 5

Molasses has run fifth at his past three starts but hasn’t been far off the winner on each occasion and he’s won both times he’s been to this track and a freshen up is a bonus. Kookabaa went down as an odds-on favourite last start in Open company but only just got beat so will be supported again. He beat home Absolute Ripper last start and it would be hard to see that result reversed but it’s still an each-way hope. Joey’s Destiny has a great record at the trip but has been a bit out of sorts of late in tough races.

BET: KOOKABAA TO WIN

RACE 6

Witness Collector had been leading his races of late and it’s working for him. He faded late last start but drops back to a more suitable trip and bounce back with barrier one and claim. Niccolon may try and challenge him for a lead and he’s been racing in good form considering the wide gates he’s been handed at his past three runs. Crown Dancer is a big watch off a long break and a stable change to NSW after winning her last start at the Sunshine Coast. It could be too short for her though.

BET: WITNESS COLLECTOR TO WIN

RACE 7

A lot of horses out of form here and the nine-year-old Grass Cutter is the only last start winner but has a wide gate which makes going back-to-back hard. Zoutenant’s best id good enough to win this but a wide draw is going make things harder. Shwanky Doo has a better draw and has been less than two lengths off the winner at his past two starts and he can sit in behind the speed and finish off well. He hasn’t won over more than 1300m yet but is primed to get the job done at 1400m now.

BET: SHWANKY DOO TO WIN

INSIDE MAIL WITH MATT JONES: NEWCASTLE

RACE 4

Underboss has been consistent for Kim Waugh and should be right on the speed and looking good heading into the home straight after three runs this time in that have him ready to run out a strong mile. Rainbow Man has had a month between runs which could be a query at a mile but he’s bred for it. Mexican Standoff hasn’t run a place from five starts but he’s better than that and is an each-way hope.

BET: UNDERBOSS TO WIN

RACE 5

There’s no jockey nominated for Espressino but if she does run she should start favourite first-up off a good winning trial. She only has bush form though but clearly is a big improver this time in. Shadow Bridge will still be supported despite an average last start effort. Atkinson also only has bush form but his best racing is in front of him but it is hard for two-year-olds to take on the older horses. Gold Codes is a knockout hope too.

Bet: Espressino to win

RACE 6

Kris Lees looks hard to beat here with Controlthewitness, Blazing Sunrise and Hard Lady. Controlthewitness wasn’t far off winning last start at Gosford and he gets back into his home track and has some pretty good form around him like Elaborate. Just Society gets the dream run from the gate and drops back from Group 3 level which he’ll no doubt appreciate. This is his race to win off a freshen up. Salsa Man runs a lot of placings and is obviously quite genuine.

BET: JUST SOCIETY TO WIN

RACE 7

Al Snip ran into the red-hot Spaceboy last start who went on to win again in town on Saturday and she’s going to improve off that and should be able to stalk the speed and let down strongly. She hasn’t missed a place in five career starts. Virgilio has a great second-up record so don’t be too put off by a ninth placing first-up and an extra 100m is to his liking. Hyannis Port has her hoof on the till after two second placings and her racing pattern ensures she’ll be in this for a long way. Express Princess and Awesome Lad are good chances too.

Originally published asScone tips: This guy will be going for the doctor

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