Early last week, local trainer Natalie Jarvis was certain that Hoystryke would be her best chance to win the opening race.
However, some trackwork 48 hours ago changed all that.
“I would have always picked Hoystryke on top of Icksta but he galloped better than her on Friday morning, so I think they are evenly matched,” Jarvis said.
“I was still quite shocked he galloped better than her but Hoystryke is still working very well.”
Hoystryke has only had one start for Jarvis since coming to her from the Chris Waller yard and she came from 14th to run fifth at Canberra last start.
“Hoystryke went well last start and showed a really good turn on foot,” Jarvis said. “Icksta has taken a lot longer to mature and is very different this preparation.”
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Pahang is another newcomer to the Jarvis stable, from the John O’Shea yard, and he’s the horse she just had to have when she saw his form at a sale.
He will run in the third race and has form in better events in the past.
“He’s the type of horse we look to buy and he’s going well since he got to the stable,” Jarvis said.
“He still seems green but has a lot of speed.
“We try to look for maidens who have placed at the provincial level, so it was good to pick him up at a sale.
“He’s really trucking in his track gallops coming around the turn but can get a bit lost, so he needs some racing practice. But we think he’ll go well.”
Action heads to Hawkesbury and Grafton on Sunday.Source:AAP
BEST BETS WITH SHAYNE O’CASS: TAMWORTH
BEST BET: KING CONI (Race 1, No. 2)
Cameron Crockett-trained gelding on debut after two super trials in the lead-up. Looks to have talent.
NEXT BEST: JAJA CHABOOGIE (Race 2, No. 5)
Kris Lees-trained filly who was specked in betting and ran accordingly at Scone. Better for experience and is essentially down in class.
VALUE BET: OVERSEAS (Race 4, No. 13)
Well-bred Ocean Park two-year-old who caught the eye at his first run in an 1100m maiden at Scone. Up to 1400m now suits.
JOCKEY TO FOLLOW
Aaron Bullock has a good book of rides, as always, and should get out of the blocks early on King Coni.
Race 4: 5, 7, 13
Race 5: 1, 5
Race 6: 1, 3, 4, 9
Race 7: 5, 10
BEST BETS WITH SHAYNE O’CASS: MORUYA
BEST BET: SHENANDOAH (Race 6 No. 1)
Lightly-raced gelding who resumes in the perfect race with the perfect draw. Could be in for a good campaign.
NEXT BEST: SIR EAGLE (Race 5, No. 4)
Expected to win first-up and although the margin was slight, he showed lots of ticker. Fitter and is handy.
VALUE BET: VALLAURIS (Race 4, No. 6)
Encouraging signs at first run for Matthew Dale in a 1425m Class 2 last month.
Legislation will be trying to win his second race at start 30 in a Class 1 Handicap (1210m) and he came from near last on the turn at Moruya a fortnight ago to run a long-neck third.
“He really has been improving and was very good last start,” Jarvis said. “He’s finishing off his races great, so we’re hoping he can finally put it together.
“It’s tricky to get him to win but he’s feeling very well. Every time he races we think it was a good run but he’s not earning much money for finishing fifth, so hopefully he can stick his nose in front.”
Boom And Zoom is first-up from a spell in a Benchmark 58 Handicap (1020m) and the Jarvis stable is expecting more than one win this preparation.
“She’s had two jumpouts and they were both better than her jumpouts last preparation when she won a race and ran a lot of placings,” Jarvis said.
“We expect her to go well. She can over-race if she gets hunted out.”
Kattegat is the stable’s final runner in race seven and he hasn’t disgraced himself in two recent Highway races.
“We’ve taken him up for two Highways but he’s back in country grade to get some BOBS (Breeder Owner Bonus Scheme) money and it’s also a chance to try him at 1400m,” Jarvis said.
“That will let us do a bit of planning for next preparation, when we’ll know if he’s a Country Championships contender.
“He is settling well so he should run the 1400m.”
Jockey Aaron Bullock. Picture: Jenny EvansSource:News Corp Australia
INSIDE MAIL WITH SHAYNE O’CASS: TAMWORTH
Overseas is a Brett Cavanough-trained two-year-old by Ocean Park and the great mare, five-time Group 1 winner Habibti, is his fourth dam. Overseas was last at the turn but five lengths behind in sixth at the finish on debut over 1100m. The step to 1400m should suit. Golden Missile has placed at both 1000m runs, including a distant third to Relmap’s Gem and subsequent winner Toto. Greg Ryan on. Entreat is very consistent and Jomajeki is a player.
BET: Overseas win.
Kris Lees-trained filly Cecilia beat a subsequent winner and good horse in Yulong Boss in a deep Showcase maiden race at Scone on June 26. That was her second run this time in so there is potential for more improvement. Good As New is a market watch. The More Than Ready gelding was tipped out after his debut win at Scone on January 30. Drawn three, Bullock rides. Stablemate A Room Somewhere will be there until the end. Stellar Blaze and Rose Of Savannah can figure.
BET: Cecilia win; box First 4: 1, 3, 5, 8, 9.
Pierro son The Borough is looking at a hat-trick of wins on Monday. The Paul Perry-trained gelding took 14 starts before he won but having gone back-to-back last month, he is on his way. One of those wins was at this same track/distance. The Deel is Dun was weighed down under the 60.5kg last start at Scone but was making headway up the straight. Last-start winner Hustled was given every chance by Ben Looker but it could be the case of ‘same again’ here.
BET: The Borough win; box trifecta 1, 3, 4, 9.
Hubble has only won once in 25 starts but has placed 10 times. His pattern of racing often plays against him but he can be relied upon to nearly always have the fastest closing sections. Was really good first-up at Muswellbrook when three lengths off the winner War Cat, who is a contender for back-to-back wins here. Liberty Head is flying for new trainer Peter Sinclair. Lights of Uluru has been racing better horses than these and doing well.
BET: Hubble each-way.
Former Godolphin-trained gelding Vallauris had a record of 10 starts for a win (at Sale) and six placings before he changed hands. The great-grandson of Doncaster/All Aged winner My Gold Hope sent out encouraging signs here at his first run for Matthew Dale. Wants the mile big time. Lord Desanimaux is consistent without winning. His only win from 19 starts was over this track and distance.
BET: Vallauris win.
Sir Eagle was basically a moral when he resumed here on June 26 and while there were a few anxious moments in the straight, his class and tenacity got him home. A half-brother to Queensland Derby winner Eagle Way, Sir Eagle has a fan in Brock Ryan, who rides him very well and will again. Francisco Pizaro has a compelling fresh record and his only win was here. Endymion has placed at half of his eight starts here at his home track.
BET: Sir Eagle win; exacta 4 to beat 1.
Shenandoah is another promising three-year-old here who might go on to better things. The Keith Dryden-trained gelding was tipped out after winning his maiden at Canberra on February 21. Looks the type who will get better with every passing day. Boom And Zoom was given a shortish spelled after a very consistent campaign. Has raced here at home four times for three seconds. Respect.
BET: Shenandoah win.
Another ex-Godolphin horse who can win on Monday is Black Caviar relation Kattegat. Has thrived since he joined the Natalie Jarvis stable, winning his first two the new management followed by three great runs, two of them in TAB Highways. Balonne likes the track/distance, while Moss The Boss is consistent.
BET: Kattegat win.
By Shayne O’Cass
King Coni, a first-starter by Nature Strips’s sire Nicconi, will be aiming to maintain some family pride when he steps out for the first time.
The Cameron Crockett-trained three-year-old has looked the part in his trials, including an impressive win in a 900m heat at Scone seven days before his mission.
“He is a three-quarter-brother-in-blood to Nictock,’’ Crockett said. “Our stable had a fair bit of success with Nictock.
“He won seven out of eight for us, so he was pretty good to us.
“I think this horse should end up having the same success at the track as Nictock. I think he has the same ability but is probably a better style of a horse because he is big, strong and powerful.
“But mentally going for his first start, he is not in the same place as Nictock was. Nictock was very natural, whereas I think King Coni is going to take a few runs to find his feet and learn what is going on.
“He has still got to get his balance and all that sort of stuff, so he has a lot of improvement to come.
“I think he is pretty good but you’ve got to remember he has run in a couple of fairly average trials and is going to have to find more at the races than he did at the trials.
“I am starting to see a little bit of a pattern with these country only trials where horses are looking a bit better than they actually are.
“I am not saying that’s the case with this horse by any means but what I am saying is I have sent a few horses out I didn’t think should have been favourites but because they won these country-only trials, they looked very good doing it. But in saying that, I rate this horse a lot higher than those horses.’’
King Coni went up at $3 on TAB Fixed markets to win Monday’s TJC Members Maiden Handicap (1000m).
Crockett stands a tremendous chance of having a 100 per cent strike rate at Tamworth because Entreat is capable of winning the TAB.coma.au Maiden Plate (1400m).
Originally published asMoruya, Tamworth tips: Icksta the trickster
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