Raceday focus: Best bets, inside mail for midweek racing in NSW

When a horse wins it’s first race it’s tempting to keep going but Brett Cavanough knew it would be better to give Good As New a spell after a debut win at Scone in January.

The More Than Ready three-year-old has been off the scene for 24 weeks after winning on his home track earlier in the year but he did that on raw ability alone.

And he still might win just on ability on Sunday in his Class 1 Handicap (1100m) as he continues to figure out the game.

“He was just a bit green and I thought he needed a bit of time,” Cavanough said.

“We’ve given him a few jump outs and he’s been half gangly again so he’s a slow maturing horse.

“He is a big horse so he’s taking some time.”

He sat just off the speed in his debut win so from barrier nine today Aaron Bullock’s ride will be key.

“With the rail out I’m not sure where he’ll end up. He might be back a bit,” Cavanough said.

“He got the job done first-up and this time in he’s had the work leading up to it so I expect him to run some sort of race.

“I think he’ll be hitting the line hard.”

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Thoroughbred action ventures to Scone and Narrandera in NSW on Sunday.Source:Getty Images

Scatman opens the account for the Cavanough stable in a Maiden Handicap (1300m) and he placed at his first two runs last preparation before running 10th of 14 last start.

He had excuses last start though when getting trapped very wide in the run but that wasn’t the only reason for the poor run.

“He drew a wide gate and we had the blinkers on him and I don’t think they worked. He got lost a bit,” Cavanough said.

“He’ll just roll forward somewhere.

“His first couple of runs were good last preparation and the other day he was a bit plain but he’s ready to run a race now. Looks-wise he’s come on. He looks good.”

Pinnacle Prince takes on Aquilla Skye in a Maiden Plate (1100m) and the Hinchinbrook colt has shown good signs in his two trials.

“He’s just a lovely big colt,” Cavanough said.

Shayne O’Cass likes Sarah Elizabeth in the seventh at Scone.Source:AAP

“He’s probably going to be a bit green and he might be a three-year-old. His trials were OK.

“In the first one he sat outside Galapagos but it wasn’t trying really hard so I didn’t take much out of it and at his last one it was a Heavy 10 and he took the shortcut and got up the fence.

“It’s pretty hard to access those heavy track trials. It’s hard to know who is trying and who isn’t.”

Cavanough is more than happy to send his young horse to his home track.

“Scone and Muswellbrook are good, big tracks to start young horses on. The big, open tracks do those babies well,” he said.

Aquilla Skye ran third at Moree last start but she was good enough to win.

“She got sent forward at 100 miles an hour and dIdn’t back off so I haven’t taken much out of that run,: Cavanough said.

“She might not be a Scone horse. She might be a Dubbo horse.”

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BEST BETS WITH SHAYNE O’CASS: SCONE

BEST BET: SARAH ELIZABETH (Race 7, No. 10)
She’s been running good races at the provincials but not winning and Kim Waugh has decided to come to the bush to get another win and she’s hard to hold out.

NEXT BEST: MOTHER’S DAY (Race 3, No. 5)
This Stratum filly could have won all three times this preparation and with even luck she gets her chance to go one better on Sunday and she deserves a win after four placing from five starts.

VALUE BET: CRAZY TRAIN (Race 6, No. 6)
She took the whole straight but found a way to wind up and win on debut at the provincials so expect her to shape up well in this grade over more ground.

BEST BETS WITH SHAYNE O’CASS: NARRANDERA

BEST BET: DELIGHTFUL DREAM (Race 1, No. 4)

Perfectly placed for a debut win here given barrier six in a 1000m maiden. The well bred gelding ran fantastic time winning his only trial by 2-lengths at Canberra recently.

NEXT BEST: JAILBIRD JAYJAY (Race 2, No. 7)

Born, bred and raised at the original home of Takeover Target, this mare is still looking for her first win hut with 10 placings from 24 starts, she should win this one.

BEST VALUE: QUIANO QUEEN (Race 5, No. 6)

Has been running a lot better than her recent form would indicate and in better company that what she meets here.

JOCKEY TO FOLLOW

One time Riverina whiz kid Nick Heywood has a fantastic book and will give the TAB Jockeys Challenge a red-hot go.

BEST EXOTIC: QUADDIE

Race 5: 4,6,7

Race 6: 3,4,8

Race 7: 2,3,5

Race 8: 3,4

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Shayne O’Cass gives Delightful Dream a big push in the first at Narrandera.Source:AAP

INSIDE MAIL WITH SHAYNE O’CASS: SCONE

RACE 1

Expiredtime is dropping back from 3120m to 2200m in a week which is very rare in Australian racing so it will be interesting to see if he has any sprint in him for this trip but he’s good enough. Celebrator came home pretty well to run second against an in-form horse last start and he’s shown that he’s a better chance in the bush after struggling at the provincials. The Deel Is Dun has a better record than most in this race and ran on last start over a mile like the 2200m would suit so she’s likeable in a weak race particularly now that Pressing Matters is out of the race.

BET: THE DEEL IS DUN TO WIN

RACE 2

Total Recall has had a promising start to his career and showed first-up over 1300m that he really needs the mile on Sunday and we can expect to see him relish over the trip and be coming home hard. Mopitts has 2kg less than Total Recall and she too will love getting back up over this distance. She’s been hitting the line well for some time now but can’t get a win. Surely it comes soon. Surf is another that wants a mile and she gets the perfect run from the gate but where’s the speed come from to set his race up for all these backmarkers? Maybe Lord Nova can set it.

BET: TOTAL RECALL TO WIN

RACE 3

Mother’s Day has the form, the barrier and the team behind her to get a win here after going close in all three runs this time in. It’s her time to win. Don’t’forgetmonica might have something to say about that however. She’s been pretty good this time in and a little improvement third-up has her ready to peak but she does have gate 12. Scatman just got caught really wide first-up and didn’t get much of a chance. The stable also thinks taking the blinkers off will help and he did run two placings from as many starts at his first preparation.

BET: EXACTA 5, 2

RACE 4

Ananagram has been coming from off the speed this time in and hitting the line fairly well and was an improver last time and the 1100m now looks ideal. Pinnacle Prince is obviously raw being a first starter which might cost him but he does look to have ability and is in good hands. Put a line through Aquilla Skye’s last run. Spiranac showed more than enough in her two runs last preparation to suggest she can win one this time in and after watching her lead-up trial today might be the day.

BET: QUINELLA 8, 10

RACE 5

Many of these are out of form. Cash Factor isn’t one of them but the draw he’s been handed (11) means punters will likely know in the first furlong how good his winning chances are. If he can settle and find cover he’s a big hope. If he tries to burn the candle at both ends he’ll struggle late. Philadora generally runs a nice race fresh and the leading jockey is still on him despite a poor strike rate. Titus has only won twice from 37 starts but has placed on 22 occasions and drops back from provincial grade so this is his chance to win again at a track that suits.

BET: TITUS TO WIN

RACE 6

Good As New won on debut but his trainer thought he needed a break after it to mature before he takes on better horses. Connections are expecting him to be hitting the line hard here. Crazy Train has had a month off since winning her debut run at Newcastle and she’s been given a good chance to go through her grades in the bush today and the extra ground is appealing. Tourmaster also comes back to country grade and he can lead all the way. Cool Missile can be ridden quiet from a wide draw then flash home so watch her late if she’s ridden cold.

BET: CRAZY TRAIN TO WIN

RACE 7

Bushido finds an easier race now and is third-up so as long as he gets even luck from a wide gate he can test them all the way. Sarah Elizabeth has a slightly better draw and is also coming back in grade and won’t face a horse as good as Strawb here. Czechoslovakia and Luga Lad look like good chances for Nathan Doyle while Light Of Uluru will be the one they all have to watch out for. She loves to rattle home and 1400m is what she needs. Chambermaid is a knockout hope in a fairly open affair.

BET: SARAH ELIZABETH TO WIN

INSIDE MAIL WITH SHAYNE O’CASS: NARRANDERA

RACE 1

All roads lead to Delightful Dream who debuts here off a near 2-lengths win in his trial at Canberra the other day where he ran extremely fast time and was totally in control of the rider throughout. Debit Credit was runner-up in the same Heat but he does have the benefit of race experience over the Joseph/Jones trained galloper. Bemightyman has placed at three of his seven starts. Resumes here with the aid of a favourable draw.

BET: DELIGHTFUL DREAM WIN, EXACTA 4 TO BEAT 3

RACE 2

Jailbird Jayjay is winless after 24 starts still but the mare has placed 10 times and she might not have ever contested a more winnable race than this. It is very skinny indeed and she did run on well last start. The Gun Son is trained by the astute Luke Pepper. Finished 13-lengths behind the aforementioned Delightful Dream in a recent trial but wasn’t really tested at all. Thrills Of Thrills ran seventh at her first run for new trainer Mitchell Beer but wasn’t beaten far.

BET: JAILBIRD JAYJAY WIN

RACE 3

She’s A Treasure is a Matthew Dale trained mare foaled in New Zealand has while she has only won one time in her 23 starts, she has placed seven times including at her last two leading into this optimum race. German-bred galloper Ocean Walter is down considerably in class here after finishing third at Gosford. Very fit now and gets his chance. Willy White Socks is one of a number of rolled-gold ‘marvels’ from the Trevor Sutherland camp with claims.

BET: SHE’S A TREASURE WIN, BOX TRIFECTA 1,2,3,4

RACE 4

Quiano Queen has been racing a lot better than her most recent form would suggest. The seven-year-old mare doesn’t boast a great winning strike-rate by any means but this is well within her reach with even luck. Ember is a lightly-raced son of Zariz who won at home at Wagga three starts back and was only beaten 1.3-lengths last time out. Drawn to lead. Snowbrook on the other hand, is likely to let rip late and could easily get home over the top of them.

BET: QUIANO QUEEN EACH-WAY

RACE 5

Let’s Get Animal is from the Trevor Sutherland camp and this incredibly prolific winning trainer can add another one to his 2019/20 tally here. The son of Kentucky Derby winner Animal Kingdom was doing his best work late — as always — when 2.3-lengths fifth at Wagga 5-days ago. Moss The Boss may lack that killer punch but he is invariably in the finish. This shapes as another grand opportunity for an overdue win. Go well. Crimson Hoffa is very consistent.

BET: LET’S GET ANIMAL EACH-WAY, BOX TRIFECTA 4,6,7,11

RACE 6

Luke Pepper has a great chance here in El Nieto who won at the Sapphire Coast prior to her last start fourth at Moruya where he came from a long way back and raced strong through the line. Will be charging late here in what looks a fast run race on paper. Magnavale is a well credentialed stablemate to Kosciuszko fancy Front Page and is absolutely deadly when first-up as he is on Sunday. Respect. Nevada Dane is racing with plenty of zest and consistency.

BET: EL NIETO EACH-WAY

RACE 7

Upper House has been racing in career best form this whole campaign, even his city run had some merit and he was 9th of 12 that day at Rosehill. Gave his all in the Narooma Cup last start; key is getting back on firmer ground. Gunga Din is a TAB Highway winner in the past and ran on hard when third in the Narooma Cup last start. Just needs a good pace upfront and last crack. Hirokin is contesting his 15th ‘country cup’ and is very well weighted!

BET: UPPER HOUSE WIN, BOX TRIFECTA 2,3,4,5,10

RACE 8

Jerilderie mare Lady Brook is a talented filly going places. The Phil Sweeney trained three-year-old won his first two starts before a distant second at Sandown-Lakeside no less at the start of the month. Clearly has the superior form but she’s also got a sticky gate to overcome. Zarsnip was a narrow winner at Gundagai last start but is more than capable of bagging another medal here albeit against a quality young filly like Lady Brook. Would Be King is in the mix.

BET: LADY BROOK WIN

Originally published asScone tips: Winning Waugh cry to ring out

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